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Ashes 4th Test Tips England To Claim Victory At Old Trafford And Take Series Lead

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Posted: Monday, 2nd September 2019

Old Trafford hosts the fourth Ashes Test and after what happened at Headingley, the Manchester ground has a lot to live up to. England, behind the all-round brilliance of Ben Stokes, levelled the series at 1-1 with two matches left to play in another example of why the ICC still needs to find time for Test cricket in its congested calendar.

Wednesday – 11.00am Odds Bets
Charlie Mullan’s 4th Ashes Test Tips    
England to win
   Best Bet
7/5
England to hit most sixes in match 6/5
Australia over 26.5 runs after 10 overs in first innings 17/20

After bowling England out for just 67 in the first innings, Australia were left scratching their heads as to how they not only lost the Test, but handed the momentum back to Joe Root’s side.

James Anderson was in line to return for England on his home ground but was ruled out of the remainder of the series because of a calf injury. Steve Smith is set to bolster the tourists’ batting after recovering from concussion suffered when he was hit by a Jofra Archer delivery in the second Test.

Charlie Mullan selects some of the best bets available for the fourth Test:

England to win @ 7/5 (Paddy Power)

When England were skittled out for just 67 in their first innings at Headingley, the question was when Australia, who were dismissed for 179 on the first day, would wrap up the victory that would see them retain the Ashes leading 2-0 with two Tests to play.

What followed during the next three days will live long in the memories of England supporters everywhere as they snatched victory from the jaws of defeat in sensational fashion.

When they needed a hero in the World Cup final, Ben Stokes stepped forward to guide England to victory, but only just. When the call came again last Saturday with England needing to chase down a record total 359 to win to keep alive their hopes of regaining the urn, Stokes stepped forward and guided England to victory, but only just.

Stokes’s 135 not out and four wickets in the match meant the 2019 Headingley Ashes Test will be remembered in years to come as Stokes’ Test just the the 1981 contest in the same venue is fondly named Botham’s Test. Stokes’ heroics meant that England arrive at Old Trafford with momentum.

Australia need to find a way of putting that defeat behind them. Tim Paine’s side needed one wicket to win the match, and when Jack Leach came to the crease with the home side still needing 73 runs to secure an unthinkable victory, it seemed a matter of time before the Australians would be celebrating.

How deep a scar that defeat has left within the Australian camp remains to be seen, but England start the penultimate Test as favourites (7/5 with Paddy Power). The Headingley crowd did their part in England’s one-wicket win in Leeds and the Old Trafford supporters will no doubt be needed to lift the home side when things are not going to plan. As we have seen already in this series, matches have turned one way, then the next in a thrilling battle of two well-matches teams.


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Odds correct as of 28th Aug, 08:30 Odds subject to change.

England to hit most sixes in the match @ 6/5 (bet365)

The third Test at Headingley saw a total of eight sixes struck and all eight came from the bat of Ben Stokes in his phenomenal match-winning knock of 135 not out. It brought the total number of sixes in this Ashes series to 20. England have 13 with Stokes hitting 11 in total and the other two coming from Jonny Bairstow.

Steve Smith has given batting masterclasses in the three innings he has played and 12 of Smith’s 378 runs scored in this series have come from sixes. However, it’s James Pattinson who leads the tourists with four maximums with skipper Tim Paine chipping in with the other.

Apart from Smith and Stokes, no player from either side has managed to reach 250 runs in the series as players have struggled to establish solid partnerships. In the first three Tests, 10 of England’s partnerships have been ended before a run has been scored while Australia have registered only two partnerships for zero runs. Australia’s struggles have been at the top of the batting order.

The tourists’ openers have combined for 150 total runs and contributed 21 runs or less in five of the six innings they have played. England’s openers have fared slightly better with a total contribution of 299 runs, but the last three innings have seen the openers combine for 31, 18 and 15 runs.

Jason Roy’s future as a Test opener has been the topic for discussion ever since the series began. Roy, who hit 12 sixes during England’s successful World Cup campaign, had struggled to score runs with paltry scores of 10, 28, 0, 2, 9 and 8 to show so far as an opener. If Roy, who has swapped places in the batting order with Joe Denly, can stay at the crease for an hour or so, his confidence should return and a big score could be on the cards with a few sixes thrown in for good measure.


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England
England 6/5
Australia
Australia 13/8
Draw
Draw 3

Odds correct as of 2nd Sep, 10:35 Odds subject to change.

Australia over 26.5 runs after 10 overs in their first innings @ 17/20 (betway)

The tourists arrive at Old Trafford having taken more wickets than England (54-53) and they have also outscored the home side in runs scored (1,600-1,465).

Another area in which Australia have an advantage over their rivals is the starts they have made. A comparison after 10 overs has Australia averaging 27.5 runs thanks to their second innings at Lord’s where they raced to 42 for two.

England have been more cautious at the start of their innings and average 23.6 after the first 10 overs. In terms of wickets lost, Australia have had nine batsmen back in the pavilion while England have lost 10 wickets before the end of the 10th over. In their last three innings, Australia have scored 107 runs in the opening 10 overs while Joe Root’s side have managed 69 runs.

Getting off to a solid start can set the tone for the rest of an innings, so surviving the first over of the first session can be important. England have had the upper hand in terms of runs scored in the first over in the three Tests played so far outscoring Australia 16-7.

In four of their six innings, Australia have been happy to concede a maiden over while the home side have managed to get the scoreboard ticking over with at least one run scored in the first over their openers have faced.

Despite letting the third Test slip, Australia know they can still retain the Ashes without winning either of the final Tests. Two draws will be enough to keep the urn Down Under while England have to win at either Old Trafford or the Oval. With so much at stake, expect a cautious start from the opening batsmen who will be hoping to be still at the crease after the first 10 overs.


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